Chelsea
Manchester United
Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction: Premier League preview (31.10.2026)
Match data
Our pick: Chelsea to win
Model probabilities
Head-to-head
- 19.04.2026 Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United
- 20.09.2025 Manchester United 2–1 Chelsea
- 17.05.2025 Chelsea 1–0 Manchester United
- 03.11.2024 Manchester United 1–1 Chelsea
- 05.04.2024 Chelsea 4–3 Manchester United
Chelsea vs Manchester United: match preview
Chelsea host Manchester United at Stamford Bridge in London on Saturday 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:30 WIB in Premier League matchday 9. The two sides arrive in very different positions. Chelsea have 13 points from eight league games and sit fifth, while Manchester United have 7 points and are 16th.
Form and table
Chelsea's last three league results, most recent first, are a 0-2 defeat to Tottenham on 24 October, a 2-0 win at Everton on 17 October and a 5-1 home win over Bournemouth on 10 October. They have scored 17 and conceded 15 overall. At Stamford Bridge they have 7 points from four games, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.
Manchester United have one win from eight. Their most recent result was a 0-3 defeat at Bournemouth on 25 October, preceded by a draw at Leeds and a 1-1 draw with Tottenham. Away from home they have 3 points from four games, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Across the season they have scored 10 and conceded 13.
Head-to-head
The record between the two clubs is level. In the five Premier League meetings listed, each side has won two and one ended in a draw. United won the most recent one, 1-0 at Stamford Bridge on 18 April 2026, and Chelsea won the match before that 1-0 at Old Trafford in May 2025 by the same margin. Neither side has a clear edge in this fixture over time.
Our pick
Our pick is Chelsea to win, with medium confidence. The main reasons are the table gap, the home record and the goal output: Chelsea have scored 11 at home this season, while Manchester United have scored only 4 in their four away games. Chelsea also have the points advantage across eight games. The head-to-head points the other way, since United have won two of the last five meetings and beat Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in April. The two sides' games this season average 3.44 goals, which suggests a match with chances at both ends, but that figure does not decide the winner. The numbers lean towards Chelsea without making the result certain.
